WTC 2023: What are Pakistan’s Chances to Qualify for the Final?

Pakistan’s first home Test series against Australia after 24 years ended with the exact same result that happened 24 years ago; a 1-0 series loss to the touring Aussies. The loss also meant that Pakistan’s World Test Championship campaign has seen them dip in their position down from 2nd to 4th. So what does that mean’s for the Green Team to qualify for the WTC 2023 Final? 

For starters, Pakistan has remaining seven matches remaining; 2 against Sri Lanka, 3 against England, 2 against New Zealand. Only the Sri Lanka series will be away while the other two series will be hosted by PAK.

Babar Azam’s side, who were expected to take full advantage of the home series, failed to capitalize on the recently concluded Benaud-Qadir series. Now fans and experts feel that with such dismaying performance, the team may not qualify for the final. 

However, the Green Team still has a chance to qualify for the 2023 World Test Championship final. 

WTC 2023: How Pakistan can still qualify? 

We need to remember that the tournament’s qualifying system is based on the percentage of points won out of the points contested. Here’s the table explaining 

According to the scenario here, this clearly shows that the loss will not do a favor for the national cricket team. The best chances for the final qualification will be sweeping all seven matches in their favor. That will be certain. 

Also read: WTC 2023 – Pakistan’s Best Chance to Play Finals?

Though luck is also something PAK will need, given that India and Australia have made their cases very strong in the cycle. A few losses from both India and Australia will welcome the Shaheens. But the team must take full responsibility for qualifying for the final on their own. 

This is the final highlights of what Pakistan MUST do if they wish to fight for the title:

Pakistan’s best chances to qualify for the 2023 World Test Championship Final 

Win all 7 games Certain qualification 
Win 6 out of 7 games, draw 1 Certain qualification 
Win 6 out of 7 games, loss 1High probability 
Win 5 out of 7 games, draw 2Good probability 

Anything less than winning 5 wins and losing 1 will give them low chance. It could well be worth noting that in case the Shaheens do get 5 wins and 1 loss scenario, India and Australia could leapfrog them over. 

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